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This is especially true for brand advertising; direct marketing on the other hand may be maintained or even increased as a way to support sales in tough times.

Mediabuying agencies beg their clients to hold their nerves in adversity, warning that dropping brand advertising could jeopardise years of brand-building investments and leave the way open to competitors, quoting virtuous stories of marketers who kept investing during crises and came out stronger.

The first, although not immune from recession, is likely to be relatively better off because subscribers face exit barriers and cannot leave overnight.

And staying at home and watching football or movies on Sky—for which you are already paying every month anyway—is after all the cheapest way to spend a family evening.

For several weeks now one of the local cafés in Camden Town [a district of London that surrounds the Screen Digest offices] where I buy my sandwiches at lunchtime has had a ‘recession special’ offer of the day (hot drink and pain au chocolat for £2! We currently believe that in the UK and the US total ad spending will shrink between five and six per cent in 2009 compared to 2008 which was already down and it could be worse if - as seems likely - major consumer brands go bankrupt in the UK (retail) and the US (automotive).

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